Boreham Wood 0-3 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.38
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 33% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.94
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
20%
3.82
X/2
10%
10.85
X/X
8%
5.96
2/1
5%
21.25
2/2
14%
8.16
2/X
9%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.48/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.82
-22% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
477 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
28.02.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
29.08.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-4 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
0-3
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers ran out comfortable winners over Boreham Wood 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Boreham Wood at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 41% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 59%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Boreham Wood and 1.00 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Dorking Wanderers?

Boreham Wood 0-3 Dorking Wanderers in the England - National League on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 48%, draw 22%, Dorking Wanderers 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Boreham Wood), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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