Dorking Wanderers 2-2 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 40%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
2.81/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+112% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Boreham Wood
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 0-3 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
18.11.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
28.02.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
29.08.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-4 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Boreham Wood
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers and Boreham Wood couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 53%, shots finished 5-20.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.50 for Boreham Wood.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Boreham Wood?

Dorking Wanderers 2-2 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 36%, draw 26%, Boreham Wood 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boreham Wood), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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