Nevezis 1-3 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
38%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
17%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
51%
-14.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+12.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.4pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Minija
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Minija Minija 2-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
28.09.2024 Minija Minija 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
11.05.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-1 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
04.08.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 2-1 HT 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
18.03.2023 Minija Minija 1-2 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
20.08.2022 Minija Minija 0-1 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija saw off Nevezis 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Minija made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nevezis and 0.83 for Minija.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Minija?

Nevezis 1-3 Minija in the Lithuania - Cup on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 37%, draw 25%, Minija 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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