Semen Padang vs Madura United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Semen Padang v Madura United — Team-Based Signals
Semen Padang vs Madura United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Madura United
ENDL1
Madura United nicked a narrow win over Semen Padang 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Madura United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Semen Padang and 2.00 for Madura United.
What was the final score of Semen Padang vs Madura United?
Semen Padang 0-1 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Semen Padang vs Madura United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 25%, draw 33%, Madura United 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madura United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.