Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Polokwane City v Mamelodi Sundowns — Team-Based Signals
Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Polokwane City
GAFPSL
0-2
HT 0-1
Mamelodi Sundowns
GAFPSL
4-0
HT 4-0
Polokwane City
GAF8K
Polokwane City 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Actual Match Statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns edged past Polokwane City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Polokwane City had 29% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 71%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.57 to 2.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mamelodi Sundowns's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Polokwane City and 1.50 for Mamelodi Sundowns.
What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Polokwane City 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 16%, draw 23%, Mamelodi Sundowns 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.