Mito HollyHock 2-2 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Apr 2026

Mito HollyHock
2 - 2 HT 0 - 1 AET 2-2 · Pen 3-4
Machida Zelvia
📅29/04/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.62
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.44
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
18%
4.29
6+
4%
22.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mito HollyHock The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia The Market 49%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.72
1.34 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.85
Average Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.07
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 353
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2026 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-2 HT 2-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP
24.06.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-1 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
12.03.2023 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
06.07.2022 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-3 HT 2-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
08.05.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
11.07.2021 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-1 HT 0-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
2 - 2
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.88 xG 1.73
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
444 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Mito HollyHock vs Machida Zelvia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mito HollyHock and Machida Zelvia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Machida Zelvia at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Mito HollyHock had 60% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 40%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.88 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.67 for Machida Zelvia.

Mito HollyHock vs Machida Zelvia Result & Final Score

Mito HollyHock 2 - 2 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mito HollyHock vs Machida Zelvia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 23%, draw 30%, Machida Zelvia 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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