Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Avispa Fukuoka v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics
a 2-2 draw left Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima with a point apiece. Half-time: 1-2.
This one beat our numbers. Sanfrecce Hiroshima carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 47%. At 1.69 (~59%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Under the surface, Avispa Fukuoka had 43% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 57%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.75 to 1.41.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.17 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Result & Final Score
Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 16%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.