Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Apr 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 2 HT 1 - 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
📅29/04/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.71
Over
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.69
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.86
6+
5%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Shimizu S-Pulse v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki The Market 28%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.74 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
1.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
Weak Attack Strength Great
Bad Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
2W-3D-1L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.08 xG 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
370 Passes 366
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.04.2026 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-3 HT 0-3 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
07.09.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
10.03.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-1 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
01.07.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 HT 2-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
04.03.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-1 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
01.12.2018 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-4 HT 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
0.55 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
255 Passes 384
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

V-Varen Nagasaki edged past Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 on their travels. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Shimizu S-Pulse at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, V-Varen Nagasaki saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.55 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Shimizu S-Pulse against 2.00 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki Result & Final Score

Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J1 League on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Shimizu S-Pulse vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 50%, draw 27%, V-Varen Nagasaki 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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