Rayong FC 3-0 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-7.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 70%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.55/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.82
+54% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
234 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
15.7 Crosses 22.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayong FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Buriram United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.38
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
165 Passes 474
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2025 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-1 Rayong FC TAY
29.03.2025 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY
10.11.2024 Rayong FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
3-0
AWAY Buriram United
0.93 xG 2.05
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
184 Passes 465
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 38
6 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC swept aside Buriram United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Buriram United at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Rayong FC had 31% of the ball to Buriram United's 69%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.93 to 2.05 — the balance of chances actually favoured Buriram United.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rayong FC and 1.67 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Buriram United?

Rayong FC 3-0 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 21%, draw 22%, Buriram United 58%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Buriram United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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29 Apr 2026
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