Chiangrai United 1-0 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.76/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.40
+2% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
13.8 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chiangrai United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ratchaburi
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.76 xG 1.30
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
199 Passes 418
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.12.2025 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-2 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
02.03.2025 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-1 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
20.10.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-0 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
28.04.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
11.03.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
15.10.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 0-1 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chiangrai United
1-0
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.82 xG 1.54
31% Ball Possession 69%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
161 Passes 433
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chiangrai United edged past Ratchaburi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ratchaburi at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chiangrai United had 31% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 69%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.82 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chiangrai United and 0.67 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?

Chiangrai United 1-0 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chiangrai United vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chiangrai United 28%, draw 21%, Ratchaburi 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ratchaburi), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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