Corinthians 3-0 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.91
Over
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No Pick
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.38
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
20%
3.51
6+
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.38 — our 30% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
69%
-16.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+12.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +88% / +88%
1.56/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.75
+71% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
20.9 Crosses 8.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.70 xG 0.78
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
401 Passes 215
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
10 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians CON CSA
15.04.2010 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians LKU
25.02.2010 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
3-0
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
1.44 xG 0.77
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
344 Passes 146
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
36 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians ran out comfortable winners over Racing Club Montevideo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Corinthians had 65% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 35%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.44 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Corinthians and 0.67 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Corinthians 3-0 Racing Club Montevideo in the Copa Sudamericana on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 53%, draw 23%, Racing Club Montevideo 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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