Racing Club 3-0 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.43
Over
49%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
30%
5.11
2-3
39%
1.96
4-5
22%
2.74
6+
9%
7.06
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.11 — our 30% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.41
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
26.5
X/1
22%
3.38
X/2
6%
23.15
X/X
10%
8.92
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
5%
17.85
2/X
5%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Racing Club win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.6pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.8pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.9pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 12%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.13/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.49
+33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
454 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
18.6 Crosses 11.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.58 xG 0.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
410 Passes 245
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 HT 0-2 Racing Club Racing Club CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
3-0
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
3.00 xG 0.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
362 Passes 315
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club swept aside Sportivo Luqueno 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Racing Club as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Racing Club had 52% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 48%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 3.00 to 0.16.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Racing Club 3-0 Sportivo Luqueno in the Copa Sudamericana on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 64%, draw 21%, Sportivo Luqueno 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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