LASK Linz 3-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 24% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.25
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
21%
5.25
X/2
15%
6.49
X/X
14%
4.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
2/2
9%
4.5
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.69/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.01
+32% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.4 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Rapid Wien
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.56 xG 1.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
280 Passes 398
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
28.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
28.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 5-0 HT 3-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
15.03.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
29.10.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-3 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
28.07.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
3-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.79 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
389 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz saw off Rapid Wien 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, LASK Linz had 57% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 43%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.79 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for LASK Linz and 1.00 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?

LASK Linz 3-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 44%, draw 26%, Rapid Wien 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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