Nacional de Football 1-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 29 May 2025

Nacional de Football
1-0 HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
📅29/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Copa Libertadores – 2026

Nacional de Football vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.86
Over 2.5
35%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.7
No
62%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
3.42
6+ Goals
7%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 37% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.54
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
17%
5.49
X/2
8%
6.08
X/X
14%
4.68
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
19%
4.14
2/X
12%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
50%
+14.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
50%
-14.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
55%
-17.3pp
62%
BTTS No
45%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional de Football v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.35/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.10
-6% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.6 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Nacional de Football vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.60
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
149 Passes 389
62% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.04.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football LKU
29.02.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-3 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football LKU
22.02.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional LKU
13.05.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football LKU
29.04.2021 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-4 HT 2-2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional LKU
19.03.2014 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional LKU
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football edged past Atletico Nacional 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Nacional de Football made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nacional de Football and 1.33 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Atletico Nacional?

Nacional de Football 1-0 Atletico Nacional in the Copa Libertadores on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 36%, draw 31%, Atletico Nacional 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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