Bolivar vs Cerro Porteno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolivar v Cerro Porteno — Team-Based Signals
Bolivar vs Cerro Porteno Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Cerro Porteno
LKU
0-4
HT 0-3
Bolivar
LKU
Bolivar 4-0 Cerro Porteno — Actual Match Statistics
Bolivar swept aside Cerro Porteno 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, Bolivar had 70% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 30%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 3.90 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bolivar and 1.33 for Cerro Porteno.
What was the final score of Bolivar vs Cerro Porteno?
Bolivar 4-0 Cerro Porteno in the Copa Libertadores on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Cerro Porteno?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 54%, draw 26%, Cerro Porteno 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.