Palmeiras 6-0 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.39
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
26.0
X/1
23%
3.68
X/2
5%
25.5
X/X
9%
8.31
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
4%
24.2
2/X
5%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
76%
-9.5pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.4pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
2.17/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.13
+22% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
22.5 Crosses 13.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.59 xG 0.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
313 Passes 177
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2025 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-3 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU
19.04.2013 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU
15.02.2013 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
6-0
AWAY Sporting Cristal
2.75 xG 0.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
377 Passes 319
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras cruised past Sporting Cristal 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Palmeiras had 54% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 46%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.75 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Palmeiras and 1.33 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal?

Palmeiras 6-0 Sporting Cristal in the Copa Libertadores on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 67%, draw 20%, Sporting Cristal 13%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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