Internacional 2-1 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.7
2-3 Goals
34%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 39% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.7
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
23%
4.51
X/2
9%
7.84
X/X
16%
4.35
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
10%
6.34
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.2pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 28%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bahia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.15 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
383 Passes 388
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2025 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional LKU
28.07.2024 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
14.04.2024 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
19.10.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 1-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
28.05.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
26.09.2021 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
2-1
AWAY Bahia
0.96 xG 1.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
233 Passes 511
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional squeezed past Bahia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 35% of the ball to Bahia's 65%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.96 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Internacional and 0.67 for Bahia.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Bahia?

Internacional 2-1 Bahia in the Copa Libertadores on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Internacional 45%, draw 30%, Bahia 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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