KTP Kotka 1-0 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 29 May 2026

📅29/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.62
6+ Goals
10%
6.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-6.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.61/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.36
+9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
4W-2D-0L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2026 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
19.08.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-3 HT 1-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
20.06.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 0-3 HT 0-2 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
24.04.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 5-1 HT 3-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
12.08.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-0 HT 1-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
11.06.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 1-1 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
1-0
AWAY SJK Akatemia
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka squeezed past SJK Akatemia 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 48% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 52%, shots finished 21-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.00 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia?

KTP Kotka 1-0 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 62%, draw 22%, SJK Akatemia 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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