KaPa 2-1 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 29 May 2026

KaPa
2-1 HT 1-0
JaPS
📅29/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
34%
1.72
4-5 Goals
27%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.79/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.27
+36% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY JaPS
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2025 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 1-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
02.08.2025 KaPa KaPa 0-3 HT 0-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
06.06.2025 JaPS JaPS 2-2 HT 0-2 KaPa KaPa FİN2
02.03.2025 KaPa KaPa 5-0 JaPS JaPS FINYK
19.10.2024 KaPa KaPa 3-5 JaPS JaPS FİN2
28.06.2024 JaPS JaPS 2-2 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
2-1
AWAY JaPS
41% Ball Possession 59%
20 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KaPa vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa nicked a narrow win over JaPS 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KaPa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, KaPa had 41% of the ball to JaPS's 59%, shots finished 20-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JaPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for KaPa and 2.50 for JaPS.

What was the final score of KaPa vs JaPS?

KaPa 2-1 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KaPa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KaPa 42%, draw 26%, JaPS 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KaPa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KaPa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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