Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cerro Porteno v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Cerro Porteno 2-0 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro Porteno put daylight between themselves and Sporting Cristal 2-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.64, roughly 61%.
By the numbers, Cerro Porteno had 51% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 49%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.35 to 0.24.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.00 for Sporting Cristal.
Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal Result & Final Score
Cerro Porteno 2-0 Sporting Cristal in the Copa Libertadores on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cerro Porteno vs Sporting Cristal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 55%, draw 20%, Sporting Cristal 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.