Fort Wayne 3-1 Dayton Dutch Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
2%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-5.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fort Wayne EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Dayton Dutch Lions EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.50/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/2.47
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +7%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
446 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fort Wayne
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Dayton Dutch Lions
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.06.2023 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne 2-0 HT 0-0 Dayton Dutch Lions Dayton Dutch Lions USL2
15.06.2023 Dayton Dutch Lions Dayton Dutch Lions 0-4 HT 0-1 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne USL2
07.06.2023 Dayton Dutch Lions Dayton Dutch Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne USL2
11.07.2022 Dayton Dutch Lions Dayton Dutch Lions 0-5 HT 0-3 Fort Wayne Fort Wayne USL2
POST-MATCH Fort Wayne vs Dayton Dutch Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fort Wayne beat Dayton Dutch Lions 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fort Wayne as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fort Wayne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Fort Wayne and 0.00 for Dayton Dutch Lions.

What was the final score of Fort Wayne vs Dayton Dutch Lions?

Fort Wayne 3-1 Dayton Dutch Lions in the USA - USL League 2 on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fort Wayne vs Dayton Dutch Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fort Wayne win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Fort Wayne 64%, draw 20%, Dayton Dutch Lions 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fort Wayne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fort Wayne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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