Western Mass Pioneers 4-1 Blackwatch Rush — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
80%
-17.9pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.4pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Mass Pioneers EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackwatch Rush EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
4.04/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.02/2.00
+44% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +32%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
493 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Mass Pioneers
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Blackwatch Rush
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
12.07.2023 Blackwatch Rush Blackwatch Rush 1-4 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers USL2
01.07.2023 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 3-1 HT 2-1 Blackwatch Rush Blackwatch Rush USL2
POST-MATCH Western Mass Pioneers vs Blackwatch Rush
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Mass Pioneers cruised past Blackwatch Rush 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Western Mass Pioneers as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Western Mass Pioneers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Western Mass Pioneers and 1.00 for Blackwatch Rush.

What was the final score of Western Mass Pioneers vs Blackwatch Rush?

Western Mass Pioneers 4-1 Blackwatch Rush in the USA - USL League 2 on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Mass Pioneers vs Blackwatch Rush?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Mass Pioneers win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Western Mass Pioneers 62%, draw 23%, Blackwatch Rush 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Mass Pioneers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western Mass Pioneers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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