Milwaukee Bavarians 1-3 Thunder Bay Chill — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milwaukee Bavarians EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Thunder Bay Chill EU Bookmakers 45%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.26
-100% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milwaukee Bavarians
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Thunder Bay Chill
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
13.07.2023 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill 4-1 HT 1-0 Milwaukee Bavarians Milwaukee Bavarians USL2
18.06.2023 Milwaukee Bavarians Milwaukee Bavarians 1-5 HT 1-2 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill USL2
POST-MATCH Milwaukee Bavarians vs Thunder Bay Chill
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thunder Bay Chill beat Milwaukee Bavarians 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Thunder Bay Chill as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Thunder Bay Chill led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Milwaukee Bavarians and 4.50 for Thunder Bay Chill.

What was the final score of Milwaukee Bavarians vs Thunder Bay Chill?

Milwaukee Bavarians 1-3 Thunder Bay Chill in the USA - USL League 2 on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milwaukee Bavarians vs Thunder Bay Chill?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thunder Bay Chill win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Milwaukee Bavarians 34%, draw 25%, Thunder Bay Chill 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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