29/06/2024
·
05:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
0-4
Midlakes United vs Ballard Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
31%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
17%
Draw
18%
66%
Away Win
67%
37%
Under 2.5
30%
63%
Over 2.5
70%
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
49%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Midlakes United v Ballard — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Midlakes United
EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ballard
EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-13%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+7%
/
-16%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
10
Total Shots
18
5
Shots on Target
8
4
Corners
8
332 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
421 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Midlakes United vs Ballard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ballard edged past Midlakes United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ballard as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Midlakes United vs Ballard?
Midlakes United 1-2 Ballard in the USA - USL League 2 on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Midlakes United vs Ballard?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ballard win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Midlakes United 17%, draw 17%, Ballard 66%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballard), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Ballard)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
29 Jun 2024