Vikingur R. 2-1 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.9pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.3pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.78/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.66
+22% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +75%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
23.3 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Afturelding
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.91 xG 1.46
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
348 Passes 235
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 31
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.04.2025 Afturelding Afturelding 1-0 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
16.02.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 4-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
14.03.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 0-3 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
2-1
AWAY Afturelding
1.83 xG 1.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
481 Passes 249
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. squeezed past Afturelding 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 60% of the ball to Afturelding's 40%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.83 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vikingur R. and 0.67 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Afturelding?

Vikingur R. 2-1 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 57%, draw 25%, Afturelding 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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