KR Reykjavik 3-2 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.8pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.83/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.59
+49% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
22.1 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
292 Passes 220
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
12.08.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
20.05.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 HT 0-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
07.10.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
18.07.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
29.04.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
3-2
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.92 xG 0.34
75% Ball Possession 25%
19 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
545 Passes 129
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
38 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik edged past FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 75% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 25%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.92 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KR Reykjavik's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.50 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

KR Reykjavik 3-2 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 46%, draw 21%, FH Hafnarfjordur 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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