FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.0pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -3%
2.32/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.65
+5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
25.5 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.70 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
240 Passes 251
67% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
20.05.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 HT 0-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
07.10.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
18.07.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
29.04.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
28.08.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
2-2
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.68 xG 1.64
27% Ball Possession 73%
19 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 5
119 Passes 497
59% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 37
23 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur and KR Reykjavik couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FH Hafnarfjordur at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 27% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 73%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.68 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 0.83 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik?

FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 42%, draw 22%, KR Reykjavik 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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