İA Akranes 0-2 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
4.10/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.29
+2% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.0 Crosses 20.4
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Vestri
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.47 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
384 Passes 278
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.08.2024 Vestri Vestri 0-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
11.05.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-0 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
16.07.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
13.05.2023 Vestri Vestri 2-2 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL1
11.02.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-0 HT 0-3 Vestri Vestri İZLK
05.03.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 4-1 HT 2-1 Vestri Vestri İZLK
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri beat İA Akranes 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was İA Akranes at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İA Akranes had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for İA Akranes and 0.67 for Vestri.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Vestri?

İA Akranes 0-2 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 52%, draw 24%, Vestri 24%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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