Valur vs KA Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valur v KA Akureyri — Team-Based Signals
Valur vs KA Akureyri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-0
KA Akureyri
İZL
0-4
HT 0-3
Valur
İZL
2-0
HT 2-0
Valur
İZL
Valur 3-1 KA Akureyri — Actual Match Statistics
Valur got the better of KA Akureyri 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Valur had 52% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 48%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.27 to 1.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Valur and 1.50 for KA Akureyri.
What was the final score of Valur vs KA Akureyri?
Valur 3-1 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valur vs KA Akureyri?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Valur 49%, draw 26%, KA Akureyri 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.