Cadiz 1-3 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2026

Cadiz
1-3 HT 1-2
Ceuta
📅29/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 34%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-74% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ceuta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 0.97
44% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
262 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2026 Ceuta Ceuta 2-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
28.09.2025 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS2
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta beat Cadiz 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Ceuta made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ceuta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cadiz and 1.00 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Ceuta?

Cadiz 1-3 Ceuta in the Friendlies on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 39%, draw 30%, Ceuta 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cadiz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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