Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2026

Deportivo La Coruna
1-0 HT 1-0
Lugo
📅29/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Deportivo La Coruna vs Lugo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.64
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 33% vs market 20.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-6.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Lugo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 15%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.93/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/0.37
+26% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Deportivo La Coruna vs Lugo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lugo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.20 xG 0.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
398 Passes 276
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4-1 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
02.09.2023 Lugo Lugo 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
01.03.2020 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
01.12.2019 Lugo Lugo 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
19.05.2019 Lugo Lugo 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
06.01.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna edged past Lugo 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo La Coruna as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.33 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Lugo?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Lugo in the Friendlies on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 62%, draw 22%, Lugo 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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