Trabzonspor 1-1 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.97
Over
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No Pick
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.71
2-3
42%
1.82
4-5
23%
3.27
6+
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.71 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
20%
4.58
X/2
11%
8.01
X/X
7%
4.77
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
11%
5.7
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen The Market 29%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
2.48/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.33
+4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / -50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
27.0 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Gallen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.43 xG 0.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
306 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.08.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
1-1
AWAY St. Gallen
1.54 xG 0.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
29 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
400 Passes 463
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 28
39 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor and St. Gallen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trabzonspor at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 48% of the ball to St. Gallen's 52%, shots finished 29-17, expected goals 1.54 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs St. Gallen?

Trabzonspor 1-1 St. Gallen in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 51%, draw 21%, St. Gallen 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trabzonspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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