Olimpija Ljubljana 5-0 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.71
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
20%
4.32
6+
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.79
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
10%
5.5
X/X
16%
4.06
2/1
10%
32.0
2/2
17%
4.0
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka The Market 37%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rijeka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.08.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
5-0
AWAY Rijeka
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana cruised past Rijeka 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Olimpija Ljubljana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 49% of the ball to Rijeka's 51%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Rijeka?

Olimpija Ljubljana 5-0 Rijeka in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 37%, draw 29%, Rijeka 35%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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