Rijeka 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.78
Over
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No Pick
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.02
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.88
6+
10%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.55
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
16%
4.12
X/2
8%
8.03
X/X
13%
4.57
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
7%
6.35
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana The Market 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka and Olimpija Ljubljana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rijeka had 51% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 49%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Rijeka 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 49%, draw 28%, Olimpija Ljubljana 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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