FK Panevezys 0-3 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.74
Over
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No Pick
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
0-3
AWAY The New Saints
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints swept aside FK Panevezys 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 48% of the ball to The New Saints's 52%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs The New Saints?

FK Panevezys 0-3 The New Saints in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 46%, draw 25%, The New Saints 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Panevezys), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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