Brann 2-0 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.18
Over
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.33
2-3
36%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.97
6+
9%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.33 — our 26% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.63
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.7
X/1
19%
3.52
X/2
11%
16.1
X/X
10%
6.88
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
4%
12.7
2/X
8%
20.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Brann win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.0pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana The Market 16%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.20/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/3.02
+13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -42%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
11.0 Crosses 10.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
2-0
AWAY FC Astana
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brann vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann got the better of FC Astana 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brann as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Brann vs FC Astana?

Brann 2-0 FC Astana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Brann 55%, draw 25%, FC Astana 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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