Pyunik 1-0 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Aug 2024

Pyunik
1-0 HT 0-0
Celje
📅22/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.67
Over
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.67
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
18%
4.39
6+
8%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.67 — our 33% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.68
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
14%
5.13
X/2
14%
5.59
X/X
15%
4.05
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.15
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyunik The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje The Market 37%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.55/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyunik
1-0
AWAY Celje
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pyunik vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyunik nicked a narrow win over Celje 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Pyunik made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Pyunik had 48% of the ball to Celje's 52%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Pyunik vs Celje?

Pyunik 1-0 Celje in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyunik vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyunik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pyunik 39%, draw 27%, Celje 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyunik), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pyunik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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