Hacken 1-2 Heidenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.51
Over Pick
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.78
2-3
37%
2.04
4-5
26%
2.61
6+
15%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.03
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
9%
11.75
X/1
17%
5.65
X/2
12%
6.75
X/X
9%
5.67
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
10%
3.88
2/X
6%
11.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.2pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidenheim The Market 37%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+37% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
1-2
AWAY Heidenheim
2.06 xG 0.81
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
424 Passes 198
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hacken vs Heidenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidenheim squeezed past Hacken 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hacken at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Hacken had 66% of the ball to Heidenheim's 34%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.06 to 0.81 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hacken.

What was the final score of Hacken vs Heidenheim?

Hacken 1-2 Heidenheim in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs Heidenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hacken 49%, draw 24%, Heidenheim 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hacken) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hacken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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