Legia Varşova 2-0 Drita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.21
Over
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.46
2-3
42%
1.89
4-5
25%
2.92
6+
10%
8.56
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.46 — our 23% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
28.5
X/1
14%
3.31
X/2
8%
26.5
X/X
10%
8.22
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
8%
22.3
2/X
5%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Legia Varşova win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
75%
-16.9pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+12.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Drita The Market 11%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.68/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.87
+83% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.9
18.0 Crosses 5.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Drita
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
24.09.2020 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-0 HT 2-0 Drita Drita AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
2-0
AWAY Drita
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Drita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova got the better of Drita 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 64% of the ball to Drita's 36%, shots finished 25-3.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Drita?

Legia Varşova 2-0 Drita in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Drita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 58%, draw 20%, Drita 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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