Mlada Boleslav 2-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.1
Over
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.09
2-3
40%
1.85
4-5
23%
3.07
6+
11%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
19%
4.12
X/2
9%
10.4
X/X
7%
5.4
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
16%
7.62
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE The Market 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2-2
AWAY Paksi SE
1.29 xG 1.23
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
459 Passes 171
78% Pass Accuracy 60%
28 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav and Paksi SE couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 67% of the ball to Paksi SE's 33%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.29 to 1.23.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Paksi SE?

Mlada Boleslav 2-2 Paksi SE in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 46%, draw 25%, Paksi SE 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVKL More UEFA Europa Conference League
22 Aug 2024
19:00 Pyunik vs Celje Analysis →
19:00 Legia Varşova vs Drita Analysis →
19:30 FK Panevezys vs The New Saints Analysis →
20:00 Hacken vs Heidenheim Analysis →
20:00 Djurgarden vs Maribor Analysis →
20:00 Brann vs FC Astana Analysis →