Djurgarden vs Maribor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Djurgarden v Maribor — Team-Based Signals
Djurgarden 1-0 Maribor — Actual Match Statistics
Djurgarden edged past Maribor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Djurgarden had 57% of the ball to Maribor's 43%, shots finished 15-3.
What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Maribor?
Djurgarden 1-0 Maribor in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Maribor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 45%, draw 29%, Maribor 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.