FC Astana 3-0 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.0
Over
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.73
2-3
41%
1.82
4-5
21%
3.26
6+
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.73 — our 28% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.02
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
11%
7.03
X/2
16%
4.48
X/X
14%
5.24
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.69
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann The Market 51%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.91/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-23% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Brann
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2024 Brann Brann 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Astana
3-0
AWAY Brann
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana swept aside Brann 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; FC Astana found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Astana had 47% of the ball to Brann's 53%, shots finished 21-12.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Brann?

FC Astana 3-0 Brann in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 36%, draw 26%, Brann 38%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Under 2.5
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