Paksi SE 0-3 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
2.1
Over
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
30%
4.13
2-3
39%
1.85
4-5
22%
3.04
6+
9%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.13 — our 30% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.55
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.75
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
11%
5.0
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
17%
3.62
2/X
10%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav The Market 40%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+128% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 1.29
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
171 Passes 459
60% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
22.08.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
0-3
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.32 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 2
274 Passes 310
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav cruised past Paksi SE 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mlada Boleslav found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paksi SE had 50% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 50%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.32 to 1.37.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Mlada Boleslav?

Paksi SE 0-3 Mlada Boleslav in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 37%, draw 30%, Mlada Boleslav 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Under 2.5
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