Panevezys II 0-3 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
50%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.4pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.3pp
49%
Away Win
39%
+10.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.7pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.52/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.42
+6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hegelmann II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Hegelmann II 2-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
28.07.2024 Hegelmann II 1-0 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
15.04.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 2-2 HT 1-1 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panevezys II
0-3
AWAY Hegelmann II
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II swept aside Panevezys II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hegelmann II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panevezys II had 55% of the ball to Hegelmann II's 45%, shots finished 12-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hegelmann II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panevezys II and 1.67 for Hegelmann II.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Hegelmann II?

Panevezys II 0-3 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 31%, draw 19%, Hegelmann II 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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