Derby County vs Swansea City Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — England - Championship, 29 Aug 2026

📅29/08/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Swansea City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 0.68
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
215 Passes 500
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2026 Derby County Derby County 2-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
25.11.2025 Swansea City Swansea City 1-2 HT 0-1 Derby County Derby County İNCL
05.04.2025 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 0-0 Derby County Derby County İNCL
27.11.2024 Derby County Derby County 1-2 HT 0-2 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
09.04.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 2-1 Derby County Derby County İNCL
02.10.2021 Derby County Derby County 0-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
PREVIEW Derby County vs Swansea City
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

This is one of the day's tightest calls on our numbers — no outcome separates itself.

Derby County have found the net in all 5 of their most recent home league games, while both teams have scored in 4 of Swansea City's last 5 away league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Derby County and 1.00 for Swansea City.

Derby County vs Swansea City Kick-off Time

Derby County play Swansea City in the England - Championship on 29/08/2026, kick-off 14:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Derby County vs Swansea City Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Derby County vs Swansea City is a Derby County win at about 40% probability, priced 2.18 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Derby County 40%, draw 30%, Swansea City 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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