Uganda Police vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Uganda Police v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Uganda Police 1-0 Mbarara City — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police squeezed past Mbarara City 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uganda Police as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: shots finished 9-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Uganda Police and 0.80 for Mbarara City.
Uganda Police vs Mbarara City Result & Final Score
Uganda Police 1 - 0 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Uganda Police vs Mbarara City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 58%, draw 28%, Mbarara City 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda Police), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.