Orihuela 0-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.0pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orihuela EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -24%
1.41/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.33
+33% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orihuela
1W-1D-0L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.01.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-2 HT 0-0 Orihuela Orihuela İS4
17.09.2023 Orihuela Orihuela 1-1 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orihuela
0-1
AWAY UCAM Murcia
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Orihuela vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia squeezed past Orihuela 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; UCAM Murcia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Orihuela had 43% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 57%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Orihuela had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orihuela and 0.50 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of Orihuela vs UCAM Murcia?

Orihuela 0-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orihuela vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Orihuela 35%, draw 34%, UCAM Murcia 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orihuela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orihuela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
29 Sep 2024
12:30 La Union Atletico vs Antoniano Analysis →
12:30 Union Adarve vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:00 Real Madrid III vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
13:00 Cacereno vs CD Guadalajara Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife II vs Talavera CF Analysis →
13:00 Granada II vs Almeria II Analysis →