Phönix Lübeck 2-1 Bremer SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.0pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.43/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.78
+24% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bremer SV
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.11.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 0-5 HT 0-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 1-0 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
09.10.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-2 HT 0-1 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Bremer SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck nicked a narrow win over Bremer SV 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.00 for Bremer SV.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Bremer SV?

Phönix Lübeck 2-1 Bremer SV in the Germany - Regional League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Bremer SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 43%, draw 24%, Bremer SV 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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