Meuselwitz 1-3 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 53%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.25/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.73
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meuselwitz
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 4-1 HT 2-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
06.08.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 3-2 HT 0-2 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-3 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
06.04.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
01.10.2021 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-4 HT 0-3 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Meuselwitz vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig got the better of Meuselwitz 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotive Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Meuselwitz and 2.50 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Meuselwitz vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Meuselwitz 1-3 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meuselwitz vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Meuselwitz 28%, draw 26%, Lokomotive Leipzig 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5
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