Chemie Leipzig 0-3 Altglienicke — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 49%
+16% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.37/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.03
-1% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Altglienicke
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2024 Altglienicke Altglienicke 4-0 HT 3-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
29.09.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-3 HT 0-1 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
03.02.2023 Altglienicke Altglienicke 4-0 HT 3-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 1-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-3 HT 1-2 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Altglienicke
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altglienicke swept aside Chemie Leipzig 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Altglienicke made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altglienicke led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 2.67 for Altglienicke.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Altglienicke?

Chemie Leipzig 0-3 Altglienicke in the Germany - Regional League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Altglienicke?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 37%, draw 27%, Altglienicke 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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